Monday, December 26, 2011

Israeli economy!

Recently i came across an article which describes a unique way by which Israeli economy transformed itself from negative to positive growth.They produce bi-annual budget rather an annual one.According to them, it takes six months for a bill to be discussed and debated and eventually approved, however they will have only six months to implement it.
However, with bi annual a govt has ample of time to implement what they set out for and it also gives a strong message to corporates and private sectors that they policies are here to stay.
I think Israelis are again showing the world,how to do business and manage work.

Saturday, November 5, 2011

A decade of investor's greed! Global Financial crisis

This is an interesting video on world financial crisis.

Talks about how it originated in the first place, after dot.com bust.The narration and the explanation of the enttire scenario, involving bankers,investors,brokers,money lenders,federal reserve and general public is amazing!

Talks about from Boom to bust with Greed as the mother of invention or innovation!



Friday, November 4, 2011

Greek Tragedy & World odessey!

G20 Cannes summit was billled as the place from where European Union wanted to look ahead in future.
Unfortunately,just before the summit, we had the Greek Prime Minister showcase his political talent and come up with something really extraordinary.A call for referendum on austerity measures being proposed by EU.World over the markets thought that George Papandreou was playing with EU and subsequently they responded in their usual crash reaction.

How Debt happened for Greece!


There have been strong protests against these austerity measures and  Greek parliament too has been completely divided.Infact, there has been lot of dissent in his own cabinet.That was the reason with which he could justify his move for the referendum.Surprisingly, this was a move where Mr. Papandreou did not consult or bring it to Greek parliament but took a unilateral decision.This idiosyncratic style of leadership has cast a shadow on his political future as well.
However, in a turn around Greece has agreed not hold referendum,which has been welcome by world markets with a sign of relief.according to FT.com, Greece bond repayment are due in sometime December and they desperately need to have the money to pay .

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Where are the world financial markets heading for?


Sentiments have plunged the market again into a pit.Tumble is happening at Galatial speed,with out any remorse, and investors just don't want to risk there money with the market.

Since last couple of days investors have taken the money out of Indian stock markets plunging the Indian rupee 10% against the dollar.

Gold Prices have also come down, with people selling gold to lay their hands on cash.

Though ideally with the buying of long term treasury bonds, and and sell short-term bonds to help stimulate lending and growth.

The aversion to riskier assets helped prop up the dollar in foreign exchange markets.People are saying that companies and banks are in a good financial health, however it is the politicians who are making the mess out it, with inaction or no-action.
The Fed announced plans to try to push long-term interest rates down by purchasing $400 billion in long-term Treasury securities with proceeds from the sale of short-term government debt, saying the economy clearly needed help. By reducing the supply of long-term Treasuries, the Fed intends to force investors to accept lower rates of return on the ultra-safe securities, or to move their money into a wide range of riskier investments that could do more to promote growth.(NY times)

Monday, September 19, 2011

What Greece can do to avoid default

According to Wolfgang Schäuble, German finance minister, made it clear for Athens. “Membership in a monetary union is an opportunity, but also a heavy burden. Measures for alignment are very difficult. The Greeks must decide whether they want to bear this burden,”(FT.com)
With this kind of intense pressure being put on Greece,
it  is currently toying and trying to employ following methods to appease and meet the demands of EU,so that it get the much needed 8 billion euros, of funds by the first week of October,else it certainly will default, and the situation is so grim that they might not even be able to pay for the pension and salary of its employees after 10th of October.They just don't have enough funds available with them.
  • Lay off, more than 10% of its work force.Greek govt employees, 1m, people out of a total population of 11Million.It needs to trim its work force.
  • Greek govt, is planing to go for salary cuts,of its employees.
  • Reduce the work of trade unions and device ways to collect more taxes, rather than rasie new ones.Infact, indirect taxes can certainly be raised.


Sunday, September 18, 2011

BRICS meet in washington for Eurozone Crisis



We recently came to know that the meeting in Poland of 17 EU nations, has not yielded desired results.Germany and its friends are adamant on strong austerity measures to be implemented before funds are cleared.They were unhappy in which US tried to dictate them into managing the crisis, as United States itself suffers from huge debt and has certainly failed to curb it.
 Second round of bailout funds are still to be given to Greece as ,they wait for Greece to make structural changes in it system.
Against this backdrop we have another meeting, this time lined up in Washington,where leaders from Brazil,Russia,India,China and South Africa meet to find out ways to help Europe arrange  bailout funds for Portugal,Italy,Ireland,Greece & Spain.
Statistics for Comparison of Economic performance.
Since BRIC are part of G20, they feel its time they help their international counterparts.Apparently few Bric nations are sceptical as some hardly have any exposure in PIIGS,though they might just buy more European bonds.China is being looked upon,however it will certainly try to extract concessions for its help.We already are aware what Chinese are capable once they get the exposure and entry in any market!

Friday, September 16, 2011

Saving Euro.But How?



The Baton of saving Euro is certainly with world's third biggest economy.Germany holds the key to Europe.Though, it did let France take the political initiative, however the financial power is certainly with the country.
There is an opinion that by going for sharp budget cuts and tax rises,one is undermining growth.One can go slow and steady.If the small economies go into recession, it will only impact government debts.
One can clearly understand that Greece is insolvent, while Italy and Spain are Solvent, just that they are short of cash.

  • Let Greece default.Debt restructing of Greece.(re-organize debt,where creditors do not face total loss, but will have to forego approx 20% of the total amt given to Greece.That way at least, they don't  face total loss.
  • Full financial backing for countires like Italy,Spain,Portugal.

The problem with Greece is, it needs money to finance the basic functioning of its government.Europe, should create firewall around solvent governments.At no cost,they be allowed to default.At the moment though, Spain and Italy owe 2.5 trillion euros.

If the Break up EU happens, people reckon, it will be at the cost of 40-50% of GDP for small countries,while 20-25% for the core country.

Even if there is backing, for other countries, how can you let reckless governments of Italy and Portugal run away with the money of Germans?
Well, i think the initial idea of EURO was to provide an alternate currency to USD,for trade.And its failure is certainly going to have effects on countries like China,Iran etc.Therefore, it just might not fail.